PLM technology race heats up - what lies ahead for UGS… and others?
Thursday, June 21st, 2007A substantial group of industry analysts and media reporters gathered this week in NYC to hear from Siemens UGS PLM Software eadership what lies ahead (yes, that is what it is called now - I’ll keep using short version - UGS). The UGS leadership did great job in explaining Siemens rationale for purchasing UGS, and tried even harder to outline their product direction for the near future. Technical explanations of their direction were as usually excellent - courtesy of Chuck Grindstaff and Steve Bashada, somewhat less clear on the marketing/sales side of things, and this time very tastefully sprinkled with customer testimonials, illustrating excitement about the momentum of Teamcenter 2007 (more on this later). So excited are UGS leaders about their prospects, that they managed to line up 25 (yes, twenty five) speakers and panelists in just the first day of the two-day event - all in one track. Suffice to say, one of side effects of that major accomplishment was to get yours truly tired enough to crash straight into bed in the heart of the city that never sleeps. Next time dear UGS event planners, please do this wherever airport ground delays last tad shorter than two hours.
Back to the content. First, let’s comment on the ownership transition. Being acquired by an owner that gets it, or shell we say - having acquired an owner that gets it, UGS has finally gained a position to, once and for all, establish clear definition of what exactly is PLM software. Judging by the interim results of the transition, they have firmly embraced that chance. Additions to the UGS leadership team, courtesy of Siemens A&D, and complementary vision of the Siemens MES software guardians, provided for an obvious synergy and convergent thinking about the role and place of the PLM software in an integrated world class design and manufacturing framework. There are two effects of that synergy that I particularly liked: first, never before in any PLM vendor vision was it so clear where does division of responsibility between ERP and PLM software truly lie. Second, never before could any vendor provide a concrete, executable vision of a closed loop optimization for design for manufacturing process.
So, why does it matter? I offer three immediate implications (among other possible ones that don’t come to me right away, but I am sure will over time).
1. Redefinition of competition in PLM market. I have written before that we need to distinguish between PLM software (PDM, decision support, program and portfolio management, requirements management, direct sourcing, collaboration) and design/engineering automation software (MCAD, ECAD, CAE, styling, test - simulation and validation), at least for as long as an integrated framework has not been established. Teamcenter 2007 redefines the PLM competition exactly in that sense. As far as I am concerned, it is a pioneering (read first) software product that breaks that division and establishes what we can all now call - integrated PLM.
2. Since now we have an example of what is an integrated PLM product, we can also clearly delineate what is not an integrated PLM product. Particularly, in terms of various ERP and similar attempts to claim a piece of the territory. Product data management (PDM) software is not integrated PLM, at least not as much as it is not CAD software, or modeling and simulation software. Teamcenter 2007 is an integrated PLM software, and as far as I am concerned it is the first one. Everything should get clear name and designation, that way planners and strategists in charge of transforming and automating product development processes can have universal and clear understanding of functional coverage they are looking for. We need a normalized dictionary of classes and types of PLM components with the clear division between integrated PLM software and PLM software components. In that sense, Siemens UGS PLM Software is first vendor of integrated PLM software.
3. As controversial as this may sound (and there will be debate for sure), I am confident that this issue will settle very soon, or let’s say, as soon as pretenders to this market fully realize what is it that they are up against. And they will not have to wait long. As soon as dust surrounding the cycle of denial, understanding and acceptance of implications 1 and 2 settles, the dust of consolidations (mergers and acquisitions) will emerge. And this time, it will have to be very significant changes. For only significant changes make sense now, that PLM market will undergo overdue, but imminent, accelerated maturing. We can speculate as much as we want, but there are not too many meaningful matches left out there, that can establish breadth and scope of the coverage we will be witnessing from UGS in the coming years. Better prepare for a big one.
What can dilute this scenario? First, as always is the case, de-focused execution of a plan or a vision. I don’t think that this will be the case here. Simply because Siemens/UGS vision convergence project (dubbed “Archimedes”) has already started. The project is based on simple premise of canvassing value added use cases from real world of product and process optimization. Business impacts of closed loop optimization using real time digital simulations can be mind-boggling, just like we witnessed in the days of supply chain optimization (70% of cycle time reductions, 80% of inventory and so on, big enough for the next fed chairman to attribute next wave of productivity advances to). So, there should be plenty of willing contributors to test and benefit from this vision. As a matter of fact, if you are a joint Siemens and UGS client, I suggest that you contact your account representative from Siemens or UGS and donate your use cases to the vision statement.
Second, more likely impeding factor is cash. The vision is big enough and will require significant investment. Even with the license growth that UGS has enjoyed recently, flashed out project budget numbers may require additional cash infusion. Having Siemens still fresh from justification cycle of the original purchase amount, it is going to be a significant uphill battle for the newly formed executive team to create another overwhelming case. With cost of borrowing potentially quickly leaving current lows, public investment offering help may have to be sought.
Third, most likely scenario, is related to the second one. Having opened the Pandora’s box of the PLM market, Siemens has little choice than to accelerate the maturity transition. You can try as hard as you want, but external forces change the momentum of a system, not internal ones (which in fact create more friction and stress). Having just invigorated such a momentum, Siemens will have little choice then to play the game it has started, whether willingly or not (”you asked for it”). What works for them is that, historically, biggest returns and profits have been obtained by software firms in the midst of similar market maturity transitions - from niche and segmented offerings into early integrated solutions, and ahead of the commodity game. Cases of companies that have significantly marked such transitions abound - like i2 (in SCM), Oracle (in RDBMS), SAP (in ERP), Microsoft (in OS-s) prove the point. PLM market is right now exacty in such a maturity transition (from segmented niche to early integrated solutions), and vendors that simply grab the market by the hand and mature it with their own offerings will obtain that rewarding leadership spot. If Siemens and UGS truly understand how to mature the market, they will come to the conclusion that they may have to do even further acquisitions in addition to the “Archimedes”. Portfolio management and mechatronics jump to mind immediately.
Either way, PLM market will never look back, having tested waters of maturity that send clear message to the end users what real benefits can be had and how, and what integrated PLM solution really ought to be. Coupled with process and organization transformation frameworks providing methodology and governance (such as VRM), integrated PLM software can be a powerful accelerator of the post-industrial era, establishing new levels of productivity and innovation, probably even being a catalyst of the emerging global markets that so much need a shift from traditional cost-based capitalistic to value-based capitalistic - and this time globally connected, environmentally sound society.
